Πάντειο Πανεπιστήμιο Κοινωνικών και Πολιτικών Επιστημών
Περίληψη:
Βασικός σκοπός της παρούσας μελέτης είναι η βιβλιογραφική διερεύνηση των Προσδιοριστικών Παραγόντων της Ζήτησης για τον Τουρισμό πριν και μετά την Χρηματοπιστωτική κρίση. Επιμέρους στόχοι της μελέτης είναι: • η βιβλιογραφική διερεύνηση και η παρουσίαση των ειδών του τουρισμού, • η βιβλιογραφική διερεύνηση και η ανάδειξη των πλεονεκτημάτων και των μειονεκτημάτων του τουρισμού, • η διερεύνηση των λόγων που οδηγούν με την πάροδο των ετών στους προσδιοριστικούς παράγοντες της ζήτησης για τον τουρισμό, • η εμπειρική ανάλυση των προσδιοριστικών παραγόντων για το χρονικό διάστημα 1990-2019 με το υπολογιστικό πρόγραμμα του EVIEWS και • η εξαγωγή συμπερασμάτων από την εμπειρική ανάλυση που διεξάχθηκε Οι επιμέρους στόχοι της μελέτης ικανοποιούνται μέσω της εκτενούς βιβλιογραφικής διερεύνησης, καθώς και της κριτικής προσέγγισης του ζητήματος.
Abstract:
Tourism is one of the biggest industry in world’s economy. There are many factors that affect tourism. The purpose of this study is to present tourism during the period of crisis and tourism after. Therefore we suggest the factors that change due to the economic crisis. The first chapter is devoted to present tourism, the different categories of tourism, its key elements, the advantages and disadvantages, the law of demand and the graphical display of demand. In the second chapter we explain all the factors that played principal role in the demand of tourism, positively or negatively. Thus, the third chapter presents the revenue from airlines and cruises, and we analyze its numbers as a tourist product. Afterwards, we explain the period of crisis, its characteristics, and how the crisis affect tourism. In the fourth chapter we present the fact that the tourism sector is currently the one that has suffered the consequences of COVID-19 and played major role on supply and demand. We give tables for 2019 -2020 to see the differences. In the last chapter, we present one econometric model to define the relationship between variables (dependent and independent) and tourism demand. The database includes a panel of countries (France, Germany, USA, United Kingdom of Great Britain) over the period 1990-2019.The World’s GDP per capita plays major role on tourism demand. As a measure, we use inbound visitor’s number, the national currency, GDP per capita and prices indices. We discovered that there is a positive correlation/relationship between GDP and arrivals and a negative between arrivals and prices indices for Greece. When we tried to put dummies in the tourism demand, the results came out with the fact that only tourists from the United Kingdom were positively correlated. On the contrary, arrivals from France, USA and Germany were negatively correlated. In addition, the referendum had a negative effect on tourist arrivals from Germany and the United Kingdom, while it had a positive effect on arrivals from France. In the end we give the conclusion of our study and our findings. The principal goal of this thesis/labor is on one hand to investigate the factors influencing demand in tourism sector and on the other hand to produce a model describing the demand for tourism in a long-term period.
Περιγραφή:
Διπλωματική εργασία - Πάντειο Πανεπιστήμιο. Τμήμα Οικονομικής και Περιφερειακής Ανάπτυξης, ΠΜΣ, κατεύθυνση Εφηρμοσμένων Οικονομικών και Διοίκησης, 2021